North America Dairy Desserts Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

North America Dairy Desserts Market Trends

The availability of dairy desserts at varied prices and growing demand for sweet treats drive consumption in North America

• In the North American region, there is a rise in demand for sweet treats among consumers. Some of these treats are cheesecakes, mouses, and cakes. In the United States, the per capita consumption of cheesecake was estimated at 0.16 kilograms. Total milk solid components of ice cream include fat and other solids. These milk solids consist of protein and lactose in milk and range from 9% to 12% in ice cream.
• To meet the demand for dairy desserts in the North American region, the region's milk production grew by 2.15% in 2022 compared to 2021. In Mexico, the milk production forecast for 2023 is 13.42 million metric tons, a growth of 2% from 2022, as producers continue to thrive despite both high domestic inflation and feed prices. The growth is also attributed to Mexican dairy producers' continued investment into the advancement of the dairy industry, including in technology, genetics, and management, combined with a sufficient supply of feed and water, which enabled increased yields and production.
• In North America, dairy desserts are available at varied prices (high, medium, and low), promoting the affordability factor for consumers. In North America, ice creams are available at USD 4.97 prices to as high as USD 87.2. Similarly, cheesecakes are offered in the market at USD 2.97, which can go up to USD 120.2. Most preferred dairy desserts in the region include flavors such as vanilla and chocolate. In addition to this, the retailing segment of the North American region is offering products from various brands to increase its consumer base. Some of these brands are Nestle, Dreyer's, and Ben & Berry's.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Segment Analysis: Product Type

Ice Cream Segment in North American Dairy Desserts Market

The dairy ice cream segment dominates the North American dairy desserts market, commanding approximately 93% market share in 2024, valued at around USD 23.2 billion. This substantial market presence is attributed to the diverse range of flavors and formats available to consumers, from premium to regular varieties. The segment's growth is driven by increasing consumer preference for low-fat and low-sugar varieties, with ice cream manufacturers focusing on healthier alternatives. In the United States, consumer preferences show a strong inclination towards flavors like chocolate (16% of the population), cookies & cream (13%), and vanilla (12%). The segment's robust performance is further supported by extensive distribution networks, with supermarket and hypermarket chains holding about 67% share of ice cream sales, followed by convenience stores at approximately 12% share. The segment is expected to maintain its dominant position through 2029, supported by continuous product innovations and expanding retail presence.

Frozen Desserts Segment in North American Dairy Desserts Market

The frozen dairy desserts segment, comprising sorbet and frozen custard, is emerging as a significant growth category in the North American dairy desserts market. The segment is projected to experience steady expansion at approximately 2% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, driven by increasing consumer preference for healthier alternatives. These products are gaining popularity due to their lower milk fat percentage compared to traditional ice cream, with dairy custard containing at least 1.4% egg yolk solids. The segment's growth is further supported by widespread accessibility through various retail outlets, including major chains like Walmart and Amazon, which offer these products at diverse price points ranging from USD 2.45 to USD 130. The expansion of convenience store networks and the rising demand for on-the-go consumption are also contributing to the segment's growth trajectory, with key players like 7-Eleven Inc., Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc., and Casey's General Stores Inc. playing crucial roles in distribution.

Remaining Segments in Product Type Segmentation

The North American dairy desserts market features several other significant segments, including cheesecakes, dairy mousse, and other specialty desserts. The cheesecake segment has established a strong presence in the market, particularly with strawberry and chocolate-flavored varieties gaining consumer preference. Mousses have carved out their niche in the premium dessert category, with manufacturers focusing on product innovation and shelf-life optimization to meet consumer demands. The 'Others' category, which includes various specialty items such as flans, dairy pudding, and frozen puddings, continues to contribute to market diversity through innovative flavors and formats. These segments collectively enhance the market's product diversity and cater to specific consumer preferences, particularly among health-conscious consumers seeking non-fat and low-fat dessert options.

Segment Analysis: Distribution Channel

Off-Trade Segment in North American Dairy Desserts Market

The off-trade distribution channel dominates the North American dairy desserts market, commanding approximately 93% of the total market value in 2024. This segment's prominence is attributed to the extensive network of retail outlets, including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms. Supermarkets and hypermarkets lead the off-trade space with around 57% market share, offering a wide variety of dairy dessert products at competitive prices. The segment's growth is primarily driven by the increasing consumer preference for at-home consumption, the availability of multiple brands and flavors, and the convenience of bulk purchasing options. The off-trade channel is expected to maintain its dominant position through 2029, supported by the rising penetration of e-commerce platforms and the expansion of organized retail chains across the region. Additionally, retailers' strategic focus on providing discounts, promotional offers, and private label products has significantly contributed to the segment's market leadership.

On-Trade Segment in North American Dairy Desserts Market

The on-trade distribution channel, primarily comprising restaurants, cafes, and foodservice operators, represents a smaller but significant segment of the North American dairy desserts market. This segment is experiencing steady growth driven by the increasing consumer preference for dining out and the growing number of quick-service restaurants across the region. The channel benefits from the rising trend of dessert customization and the growing popularity of premium ice cream parlors and specialty dessert cafes. Foodservice operators are increasingly focusing on innovative dairy dessert offerings and unique flavor combinations to attract customers. The segment's growth is further supported by the expansion of international dessert chains and local artisanal ice cream shops, particularly in urban areas. The increasing adoption of digital ordering platforms and delivery services has also contributed to making dairy desserts more accessible through foodservice establishments.

North America Dairy Desserts Market Geography Segment Analysis

Dairy Desserts Market in the United States

The United States dominates the North American dairy desserts market, commanding approximately 82% market share in 2024. The market's robust performance is driven by the country's well-established retail infrastructure and diverse consumer preferences. American consumers show particular interest in newly launched frozen dairy desserts featuring varied flavors, textures, and fat percentages. The manufacturing landscape is highly economical, with producers focusing on product innovation and shelf-life optimization to meet evolving consumer demands. The country's extensive distribution network, comprising supermarkets, convenience stores, and online retail channels, ensures widespread product availability. Major retailers offer dairy desserts at various price points, ranging from premium to value segments, making products accessible to different consumer segments. The market is characterized by strong brand presence and continuous product innovation, particularly in the premium and health-conscious segments.

Dairy Desserts Market in Mexico

Mexico's dairy desserts market is projected to grow at approximately 3% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, emerging as the fastest-growing market in the region. The growth trajectory is supported by the country's expanding retail infrastructure and increasing consumer awareness of dairy dessert varieties. Mexican consumers are increasingly embracing both traditional and innovative dairy dessert products, with ice cream being particularly popular. The market is witnessing significant developments in distribution channels, with modern retail formats gaining prominence. Local manufacturers are focusing on product diversification and quality improvements to meet evolving consumer preferences. The country's warm climate contributes to consistent demand throughout the year, while the growing middle class and urbanization drive market expansion. Retailers are adopting various pricing strategies and promotional activities to attract different consumer segments, while manufacturers are investing in cold chain infrastructure to ensure product quality.

Dairy Desserts Market in Canada

Canada's dairy desserts market demonstrates strong potential with its sophisticated consumer base and well-developed retail infrastructure. The market is characterized by high per capita consumption and strong preference for premium products. Canadian consumers show particular interest in artisanal and locally-produced dairy desserts, driving innovation in the sector. The country's retail landscape is dominated by major supermarket chains and specialty stores, offering a wide range of dairy dessert products. Manufacturers in Canada focus on clean label products and natural ingredients, aligning with growing health consciousness among consumers. The market benefits from a strong regulatory framework ensuring product quality and food safety standards. Regional preferences play a significant role in product development and marketing strategies, with Quebec and Ontario being key markets for innovative dairy dessert products.

Dairy Desserts Market in Other Countries

The dairy desserts market in other North American countries, including Greenland, Jamaica, Cuba, Panama, Costa Rica, and Guatemala, exhibits unique characteristics shaped by local preferences and economic conditions. These markets are characterized by varying levels of retail development and consumer purchasing power. Local flavors and traditional recipes influence product development and marketing strategies in these regions. The retail landscape in these countries is evolving, with modern trade formats gradually gaining prominence alongside traditional retail channels. Consumer preferences in these markets are influenced by both global trends and local cultural factors. The competitive landscape includes both international brands and local manufacturers, each bringing unique offerings to the market. Distribution networks continue to develop, improving product accessibility across urban and rural areas.

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